Prospects and Scenarios for the Development of the Global and Domestic Market of Maritime Freight Transport Along the Northeast Passage

The presented study considers the prospects and scenarios for the development of domestic and international maritime freight transport along the NEP and examines the major directions for the efficient maintenance of the northern maritime shipping route.

Aim. The study aims to make a projection and identify potential scenarios for the development of the Northeast Passage based on an analysis of the global and national maritime freight transport market. Tasks. The author analyzes projected scenarios for the development of the NEP, shows the efficiency of maintenance of the northern maritime shipping route, and identifies the most promising directions and stages of development of the global and domestic market of maritime freight transport along the Northeast Passage.

Methods. This study uses general scientific methods of cognition (analysis, synthesis, comparison, material modeling, etc.) to identify and systematize development scenarios required for the efficient maintenance of the northern maritime shipping route.

Results. The formation of an efficient northern maritime shipping route gives Russia economic and political advantages necessary to strengthen the country's position in the Arctic. By turning the NEP into a permanent international transport artery, Russia could significantly strengthen its position in the system of international maritime trade and navigation.

Conclusions. Having considered the main scenarios for the development of the NEP, the author concludes that the use of the NEP as an alternative route is the most promising option. The development of the NEP and organization of regular traffic remains the government's prerogative, providing an opportunity for cost-effective international transport (including container transport).

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