Assessing the impact of seaport functionality on the socioeconomic development of a region
https://doi.org/10.35854/1998-1627-2025-11-1500-1512
Abstract
Aim. The work aimed to assess the contribution of various cargo types to the gross regional product (GRP) and regional budget revenues.
Objectives. The work seeks to create a panel database for all maritime regions of Russia for 2015–2023; cluster the regions by level of port activity; as well as develop and test models based on gradient boosting and Shapley methods to identify nonlinear relationships between logistics and economic indicators.
Methods. The analysis includes several stages. These include creating a database, including port cargo transportation volumes by cargo type for all maritime regions of Russia for 2015–2023; clustering the regions by level of port activity based on their share of cargo turnover in the Russian total cargo turnover; and constructing models to assess the impact of freight traffic flows on GRP indicators and budget revenues.
Results. The economic impact of port activities has been established to depend not only on the total volume of cargo turnover but also on its structure. The most significant cargo types in regions with high port activity are liquid bulk and raw materials, while these coal and containers are in regions with medium port activity, and dry bulk carriers for supply purposes in regions with low port activity.
Conclusions. The Shapley method was used to clarify the role of each cargo type in the formation of GRP and budget revenues, providing a more accurate basis for management decisions. A transition from aggregated approaches to a structural analysis of freight traffic flows was concluded to be necessary when formulating regional socio-economic policy.
About the Author
D. V. Martynov
Vladivostok State University
Russian Federation
Competing Interests:
Russian Federation
Dmitriy V. Martynov, postgraduate student
41 Gogolya St., Vladivostok 690014
Competing Interests:
the author declares no conflict of interest related to the publication of this article.
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For citations:
Martynov D.V. Assessing the impact of seaport functionality on the socioeconomic development of a region. Economics and Management. 2025;31(11):1500-1512. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.35854/1998-1627-2025-11-1500-1512
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